Emerging Markets: Capital Flows, Debt Overhang, Inflation, and Growth

Cristina Arellano, Saki Bigio, and Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria, Organizers

May 20-21, 2024

Lima, Peru

Conference Code of Conduct

Monday, May 20
9:00 am
Lorena Keller, University of Pennsylvania

Arbitraging Covered Interest-Rate Parity Deviations and Bank Lending (slides)
Discussant: Juliana Salomao, University of Minnesota and NBER (slides)
Break
10:15 am
Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana, Boston College
Grey Gordon, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

A Quantitative Theory of Hard and Soft Sovereign Defaults
Discussant: Julian Kozlowski, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (slides)
Break
11:30 am
Matias Moretti, University of Rochester
Lorenzo Pandolfi, CSEF
Sergio L. Schmukler, The World Bank
German Villegas-Bauer, International Monetary Fund
Tomas Williams, George Washington University

Inelastic Demand Meets Optimal Supply of Risky Sovereign Bonds
Discussant: Yan Bai, University of Rochester and NBER (slides)
Break
2:00 pm
Nicholas Trachter, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Francisco J. Buera, Washington University in St. Louis and NBER

Sectoral Development Multipliers (slides)
Discussant: Jorge Miranda-Pinto, International Monetary Fund (slides)
Adjourn
3:15 pm
Francesco Ferrante, Federal Reserve Board
Nils Gornemann, Federal Reserve Board

Devaluations, Deposit Dollarization, and Household Heterogeneity
Discussant: Alberto Humala, Central Bank Peru (slides)
Break
4:30 pm
Fernando Arce, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Nicolas D. Werquin, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Tax Revolts and Sovereign Defaults (slides)
Discussant: Leonardo Martinez, International Monetary Fund
Adjourn
Tuesday, May 21
9:00 am
Pierre De Leo, University of Maryland
Gita Gopinath, International Monetary Fund
Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan, Brown University and NBER

Monetary Policy and the Short-Rate Disconnect in Emerging Economies
Discussant: Pablo Ottonello, University of Maryland and NBER
Break
10:15 am
Enrique G. Mendoza, University of Pennsylvania and NBER
Vincenzo Quadrini, University of Southern California and NBER

The Surge in Emerging Markets' International Reserves and the Rise in Global Volatility
Discussant: Luis Gonzalo Llosa Velásquez, Universidad del Pacífico
Break
11:30 am
Paul Bergin, University of California, Davis and NBER
Ju H. Pyun, Korea University
Woo Jin Choi, University of Seoul

Capital Flows, Structural Change, and Productivity Growth (slides)
Discussant: Juan M. Sanchez, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Lunch
2:00 pm
Julien Bengui, Bank of Canada
Louphou Coulibaly, University of Wisconsin-Madison and NBER

Inflation and Capital Flows (slides)
Discussant: Roberto Chang, Rutgers University and NBER (slides)
Break
3:15 pm
Pablo A. Neumeyer, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella
Emilio c. Espino, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella
Alfonso Gauna, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella

Models of Balance of Payments Crisis with Capital Controls (slides)
Discussant: Manuel Amador, University of Minnesota and NBER
Break
4:30 pm
Policy Panel: Fiscal and Monetary Challenges in Emerging Markets
Timothy Kehoe, University of Minnesota and NBER
Federico Sturzenegger, Universidad San Andres
Jose Uribe, Executive President of FLAR
Julio Velarde, Governor of the Central Bank of Peru