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Monday, July 12
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11:00 am
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The Slope of the Phillips Curve: Evidence from U.S. States
Jonathon Hazell, London School of Economics
Juan Herreño, University of California, San Diego
Emi Nakamura, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
Jón Steinsson, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
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11:45 am
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Is There a Stable Relationship between Unemployment and Future Inflation?
Terry Fitzgerald, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Callum J. Jones, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
Mariano Kulish, University of Sydney
Juan Pablo Nicolini, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
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12:30 pm
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Break
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12:45 pm
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The Macroeconomics of Sticky Prices with Generalized Hazard Functions
(slides)
Fernando E. Alvarez, University of Chicago and NBER
Francesco Lippi, LUISS Guido Carli University
Aleksei Oskolkov, University of Chicago
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1:30 pm
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The Supply-Side Effects of Monetary Policy
David Baqaee, University of California, Los Angeles and NBER
Emmanuel Farhi, Harvard University
Kunal Sangani, Stanford University
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2:15 pm
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Adjourn
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Tuesday, July 13
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11:00 am
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Cross-Sectional Uncertainty and the Business Cycle: Evidence from 40 Years of Options Data
Ian Dew-Becker, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Stefano Giglio, Yale University and NBER
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11:45 am
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Risky Business Cycles
Susanto Basu, Boston College and NBER
Giacomo Candian, HEC Montreal
Ryan Chahrour, Cornell University
Rosen Valchev, Boston College and NBER
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12:30 pm
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Break
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12:45 pm
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Aggregate-Demand Amplification of Supply Disruptions: The Entry-Exit Multiplier
(slides)
Florin O. Bilbiie, University of Cambridge
Marc Melitz, Harvard University and NBER
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1:30 pm
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The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending
Olivier Coibion, University of Texas at Austin and NBER
Dimitris Georgarakos, European Central Bank
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
Geoff K. Kenny, European Central Bank
Michael Weber, University of Chicago and NBER
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2:15 pm
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Adjourn
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Wednesday, July 14
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11:00 am
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Fiscal Policy in a Networked Economy
Joel P. Flynn, Yale University
Christina Patterson, University of Chicago and NBER
John Sturm, Princeton University
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11:45 am
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Demand Composition and the Strength of Recoveries
Martin Beraja, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
Christian K. Wolf, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and NBER
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12:30 pm
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Break
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12:45 am
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The Long-Run Effects of Monetary Policy
Òscar Jordà, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Sanjay R. Singh, University of California, Davis
Alan M. Taylor, Columbia University and NBER
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1:30 pm
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Monetary Policy Strategies for the European Central Bank
(slides)
Jesper Lindé, Sveriges Riksbank
Christopher Erceg, International Monetary Fund
Zoltan Jakab, International Monetary Fund
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2:15 pm
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Adjourn
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Thursday, July 15
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11:00 am
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Attention Cycles
Joel P. Flynn, Yale University
Karthik Sastry, Princeton University and NBER
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11:45 am
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Implications of Diagnostic Expectations: Theory and Applications
Francesco Bianchi, Johns Hopkins University and NBER
Cosmin L. Ilut, Duke University and NBER
Hikaru Saijo, University of California, Santa Cruz
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12:30 pm
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Break
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12:45 pm
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Determinacy without the Taylor Principle
(slides)
George-Marios Angeletos, Northwestern University and NBER
Chen Lian, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
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1:30 pm
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Imprecise Probabilistic Inference from Sequential Data
Arthur Prat-Carrabin, Columbia University
Michael Woodford, Columbia University and NBER
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2:15 pm
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Adjourn
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Friday, July 16
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11:00 am
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Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Times of Large Debt: Unity is Strength
(slides)
Francesco Bianchi, Johns Hopkins University and NBER
Renato Faccini, Danmarks Nationalbank
Leonardo Melosi, University of Warwick
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11:45 am
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On Speculative Frenzies and Stabilization Policy
(slides)
Gadi Barlevy, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
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12:30 pm
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Break
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12:45 pm
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Monetary Policy and Endogenous Financial Crises
(slides)
Frederic Boissay, Bank for International Settlements
Fabrice Collard, Toulouse School of Economics
Jordi Galí, Center for Research in International Economics and NBER
Cristina Manea, Bank for International Settlements
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1:30 pm
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Dissecting Mechanisms of Financial Crises: Intermediation and Sentiment
(slides)
Arvind Krishnamurthy, Stanford University and NBER
Wenhao Li, University of Southern California
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2:15 pm
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Adjourn
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