NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC.

SUMMER INSTITUTE 2004

Aging and Health Care Workshops

August 2-6, 2004

Royal Sonesta Hotel

5 Cambridge Parkway

Cambridge, Massachusetts

PRELIMINARY PROGRAM

MONDAY, AUGUST 2:
10:00 a.m.	Coffee and pastries
AGING WORKSHOP, Organized by David Wise
10:20 a.m.	JOHN M. ABOWD, Cornell University and NBER
	JOHN HALTIWANGER, University of Maryland and NBER
	JULIA I. LANE, Urban Institute
	KEVIN L. MCKINNEY and KRISTIN SANDUSKY, U.S. Census Bureau
	The Demand for Older Workers: The Role of Technology and Skill
11:10 a.m.	STEFANO DELLAVIGNA, UC, Berkeley
	JOSHUA M. POLLET, Harvard University
	Attention, Demographics, and the Stock Market
12:00 N	Lunch
1:00 p.m.	WILLIAM G. GALE, Brookings Institution
	KAREN M. PENCE, Federal Reserve Board
	Household Wealth Accumulation in the 1990s: Trends, Determinants, and Implications
1:50 p.m.	MICHAEL D. HURD, RAND Corporation and NBER
	SUSANN ROHWEDDER, RAND Corporation
	Changes in Consumption and Activities at Retirement
2:40 p.m.	Break
3:10 p.m.	LI GAN, University of Texas, Austin and NBER
	GUAN GONG, University of Texas, Austin
	MICHAEL HURD, RAND Corporation and NBER
	DANIEL MCFADDEN, UC, Berkeley and NBER
	Subjective Mortality Risk and Bequest Motivation
4:00 p.m.	JAMES CHOI, Harvard University
	DAVID LAIBSON, Harvard University and NBER
	BRIGITTE MADRIAN, University of Pennsylvania and NBER
	Enron’s Effect on 401(k) Employer Stock Holding
4:50 p.m.	Adjourn
TUESDAY, AUGUST 3:
8:30 a.m.	Coffee and pastries
AGING WORKSHOP, Organized by David Wise
9:00 a.m.	ANTOINE BOMMIER, Universite de Toulouse
	RONALD LEE, UC, Berkeley and NBER
	TIMOTHY MILLER, UC, Berkeley
	STEPHANE ZUBER, Ecole Normale Superieure
	The Development of Public Transfers in the US: Historical Generational Accounts for
	Education, Social Security, and Medicare
9:50 a.m.	COURTNEY COILE and PHILLIP B. LEVINE, Wellesley College and NBER
	Bulls, Bears and Retirement Behavior
10:40 a.m.	Break
11:10 a.m.	DORA L. COSTA, MIT and NBER
	Race and Older Age Mortality: Evidence from Union Army Veterans
12:00	Lunch
1:00 p.m.	JAMES BANKS, Institute of Fiscal Studies
	ARIE KAPTEYN, JAMES P. SMITH and ARTHUR VAN SOEST, RAND Corporation
	International Comparisons of Work Disability
1:50 p.m.	JEFFERY R. BROWN, University of Illinois and NBER
	AMY FINKELSTEIN, Harvard University and NBER
	The Interaction of Public and Private Insurance:
	Medicaid and the Long-Term Care Insurance Market
2:40 p.m.	Break
3:10 p.m.	ROBERT E. HALL, Stanford University and NBER
	CHARLES I. JONES, UC, Berkeley and NBER
	The Value of Life and the Rise in Health Spending
4:00 p.m.	Adjourn
6:00 p.m.	Clambake, Harvard Faculty Club, 20 Quincy Street, Cambridge, MA
WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 4:
8:30 a.m.	Coffee and Pastries
JOINT SESSION: AGING AND SOCIAL SECURITY GROUPS, Organized by Jeffrey Liebman
9:00 a.m.	MICHAEL BAKER, University of Toronto and NBER
	JONATHAN GRUBER, MIT and NBER
	KEVIN MILLIGAN, University of British Columbia and NBER
	Does Social Security Matter for Elderly Well-Being? Evidence from Canada
10:00 a.m.	SUSANN ROHWEDDER and KRISTIN KLEINJANS, RAND Corporation
	Dynamics of Individual Information about Social Security
11:00 a.m.	Break
11:30 a.m.	MARTIN FELDSTEIN, Harvard University and NBER
	Reducing Risk in Personal Retirement Accounts
12:30 p.m.	Lunch
1:30 p.m.	OLIVIA MITCHELL, University of Pennsylvania and NBER
	CASSIO TURRA, University of Pennsylvania
	Health and Annuities for the Older Population
2:30 p.m.	DIRK KRUEGER, University of Pennsylvania and NBER
	FELIX KUBLER, Stanford University
	Pareto Improving Social Security Reform when Financial Markets are Incomplete!?
3:30 p.m.	Break
4:00 p.m.	SHINICHI NISHIYAMA, Congressional Budget Office
	KENT SMETTERS, University of Pennsylvania and NBER
	Does Privatizing Social Security Produce Efficiency Gains?
5:00 p.m.	Adjourn
THURSDAY, AUGUST 5
8:30 a.m.	Coffee and Pastries
JOINT SESSION: AGING AND HEALTH CARE GROUPS, Organized by Alan Garber
9:00 a.m.	BO HONORE, Princeton University
	ADRIANA LLERAS-MUNEY, Princeton University and NBER
	Bounds in Competing Risks Models and War on Cancer
9:50 a.m.	Break
10:05 a.m.	DAVID GRABOWSKI, University of Alabama
	JON GRUBER, MIT and NBER
	Moral Hazard in Nursing Home Use
10:55 a.m.	DANA GOLDMAN and DARIUS LAKDAWALLA, RAND Corporation and NBER
	NEERAJ SOOD, RAND Corporation
	HIV Breakthroughs and Risky Sexual Behavior
12:00 N	Lunch
1:00 p.m.	HELEN LEVY, University of Chicago and NBER
	Effect of Insurance Status on Access
1:50 p.m.	Break
2:05 p.m.	JAY BHATTACHARYA, Stanford University and NBER
	WILLIAM VOGT, Carnegie-Mellon and NBER
	Employment and Adverse Selection in Health Insurance
2:55 p.m.	Break
3:10 p.m.	AMITABH CHANDRA and DOUGLAS STAIGER, Dartmouth College and NBER
	Network Externalities in Treatment of MI
4:00 p.m.	Adjourn
FRIDAY, AUGUST 6:
8:30 a.m.	Coffee and Pastries
JOINT SESSION: AGING, HEALTH CARE, AND PRODUCTIVITY GROUPS,
Organized by Ernst Berndt, David Cutler, Alan Garber, and David Wise
9:00 a.m.	AMY FINKELSTEIN, Harvard University and NBER
	Health Insurance, Rising Health Spending, and the Diffusion of New Medical
	Technologies: Evidence from the Introduction of Medicare
9:50 a.m.	Break
10:05 a.m.	GAUTAM GOWRISANKARAN, Washington University and NBER
	ROBERT TOWN, University of Minnesota and NBER
	Managed Care, Drug Benefits and Mortality: An Analysis of the Elderly
10:55 a.m.	Break
11:10 a.m.	FRANK LICHTENBERG, Columbia University and NBER
	The Impact of New Drug Launches on Longevity:
	Evidence From Longitudinal Disease-Level Data from 52 Countries: 1982-2001
12:00 noon	WILLIAM MARDER, MedStat NBER
	Can Health Care Claims Data Improve the Estimation of the Medical CPI?
1:00 p.m.	Lunch and Adjourn
6/4/04