Fertility and Declining Population Growth in High-Income Countries

Melissa Schettini Kearney and Phillip B. Levine, Organizers

June 1-2, 2023

NBER, 1050 Massachusetts Ave, Cambridge, MA

Conference Code of Conduct

Thursday, June 1
11:00 am
Introductory Remarks
Melissa Schettini Kearney, University of Maryland and NBER
Phillip B. Levine, Wellesley College and NBER
11:30 am
Matthias Doepke, Northwestern University and NBER
Fabian Kindermann, University of Regensburg

Working Mothers, Social Norms, and Fertility (slides)
Discussant: Anna Aizer, Brown University and NBER
12:20 pm
Lunch
1:20 pm
Xi Yang, University of North Texas

More Credit, Fewer Babies? Bank Credit Expansion, House Price, and Fertility
Discussant: Lisa J. Dettling, Federal Reserve Board
Maria De Paola, Università della Calabria
Roberto Nisticò, University of Naples Federico II
Giuseppe Pio Dachille, Istituto Nazionale della Previdenza Sociale
Pasquale Tridico, Università degli Studi Roma Tre

Guaranteed Minimum Income and Fertility (slides)
Discussant: Lisa J. Dettling, Federal Reserve Board
2:20 pm
Break
2:30 pm
Giulia Briselli, Universitat Pompeu Fabra
Libertad Gonzalez, Universidad Pompeu Fabra

Are Men’s Attitudes Holding Back Fertility and Women’s Careers? Evidence from Europe
Discussant: Yana Gallen, University of Chicago
3:20 pm
Break
3:30 pm
Kevin J. Kuruc, University of Texas at Austin
Sangita Vyas, University of Texas at Austin
Mark Budolfson, Rutgers University
Michael Geruso, University of Texas at Austin and NBER
Dean Spears, University of Texas at Austin

A Quantitative Assessment of the Climate Benefits and Economic Costs of a Smaller World Population
Discussant: James Feyrer, Dartmouth College
4:20 pm
Break
4:30 pm
David N. Weil, Brown University and NBER

Replacement Fertility is Neither Natural nor Optimal nor Likely
Discussant: Bruce Sacerdote, Dartmouth College and NBER
5:20 pm
Adjourn
6:30 pm
Dinner at Henrietta's Table
1 Bennett Street, Cambridge, MA

Moderated Conversation between
Baroness Camilla Cavendish, Senior Fellow, Harvard Kennedy School
and Lawrence Summers, Harvard University
Friday, June 2
8:15 am
Coffee and Pastries
8:45 am
Arnstein Aasve, Bocconi University
Alicia Adsera, Princeton University
Paul Chang, Harvard University
Letizia Mencarini, Università Commerciale Luigi Bocconi
Hyunjoon Park, University of Pennsylvania
Chen Peng, Università Commerciale Luigi Bocconi
Samuel Plach, Università Commerciale Luigi Bocconi
James Raymo, Princeton University
Senhu Wang, NUS
Jean Yeung Wei-Jun, NUS

Family Ideals Across Cultures
Discussant: Na'ama Shenhav, Dartmouth College and NBER
9:35 am
Break
9:45 am
Jacob L. Vigdor, University of Washington and NBER

Was it Demography All Along? Population Dynamics and Economic Inequality
Discussant: Riley Wilson, Brigham Young University
Adam Looney, University of Utah

Declining Fertility and the Material Wellbeing of Children
Discussant: Riley Wilson, Brigham Young University
10:45 am
Break
11:00 am
Sara Cools, Institutt for Samfunnsforskning
Hans Henrik Sievertsen, The Danish Center for Social Science Research
Marte Strøm, Institute for Social Research

Job Security and Fertility Decisions: Evidence from a Temporary Work Reform (slides)
Discussant: Almudena Sevilla, London School of Economics
Mario Martínez-Jiménez, Imperial College London
Judit Vall Castelló, Universitat de Barcelona

Temporary Employment, Fertility and Health at Birth
Discussant: Almudena Sevilla, London School of Economics
12:00 pm
Lunch
1:00 pm
Nicola Barban, University of Essex
Elisabetta De Cao, University of Bologna
Marco Francesconi, University of Essex

Gene-Environment Effects on Female Fertility
Discussant: Osea Giuntella, University of Pittsburgh and NBER
1:50 pm
Break
2:00 pm
Michael Geruso, University of Texas at Austin and NBER
Melissa C. LoPalo, Montana State University
Dean Spears, University of Texas at Austin

Age and Infertility Revisited
Discussant: Claudia Goldin, Harvard University and NBER
2:50 pm
Closing Remarks
3:00 pm
Adjourn