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MONDAY,
JULY 9 |
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9:00 am |
IFM |
LEE OHANIAN, UC, |
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MARK WRIGHT, Federal Reserve Bank of |
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International Capital
Mobility: 1950-2006 |
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9:15 am |
DAE |
FARLEY GRUBB, |
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10:20 am |
DAE |
BEN CHABOT, |
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How Costly Were the
Banking Panics of the Gilded Age? |
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10:00 am |
IFM |
SIRSHA CHATTERJEE and KANDA NAKNOI, |
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Marginal Product of
Capital, Capital Flows and Convergence |
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11:25 am |
DAE |
KRIS JAMES MITCHENER, |
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MARC WEIDENMIER, |
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Are Hard Pegs Credible
in Emerging Markets? Lessons from the Classical Gold Standard |
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1:00 pm |
ME |
OLIVIER BLANCHARD, MIT and NBER |
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JORDI GALÍ, Universitat Pompeu Fabra and NBER |
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The
Macroeconomic Effects of Oil Price Shocks:
Why are the 2000s So Different from the 1970s? |
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1:15 pm |
DAE |
ANN CARLOS, |
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KIRSTEN WANDSCHEIDER, |
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LARRY NEAL, |
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Trading
Connections in Bank of England Shares, 1720: The Role of Market Makers |
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1:55 pm |
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Michele Cavallo, Federal Reserve Bank
of |
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TAO WU, Federal Reserve Bank of |
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Measuring Oil-Price
Shocks Using Market-Based Information |
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2:20 pm |
DAE |
ERIC HILT, |
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Wall Streets First Corporate
Governance Crisis: The Conspiracy Trials of 1826 |
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3:05 pm |
ME |
LUCA BENATI, European Central Bank |
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PAOLO SURICO, Bank of |
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3:25 pm |
DAE |
ALKA
GANDHI, |
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THOMAS
WEISS, |
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The American
Invasion of Europe: The Long Term Rise in Overseas Travel, 1820-2000 |
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TUESDAY, JULY 10: |
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8:30 am |
EFWW |
TODD CLARK, Federal Reserve Bank of |
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MICHAEL MCCRACKEN, Federal Reserve Board |
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9:00 am |
DAE |
SHI-TSE LO, |
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DHANOOS SUTTHIPHISAL, |
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Knowledge
Diffusion and Cross-Over Inventions: Evidence from the Electrical Industries,
1890-1910 |
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9:00 am |
IFM |
JAN GROEN, Bank of |
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Fundamentals Based
Exchange Rate Prediction Revisited |
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9:45 am |
EFWW |
RAFFAELLA GIACOMINI, UC, |
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BARBARA ROSSI, |
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Model Selection and Forecast Comparison in Unstable
Environments |
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10:05 am |
DAE |
JEREMY ATACK, |
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ROBERT MARGO, |
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Mapping the Diffusion
of American Railroads in the 19th Century |
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10:40 am |
IFM |
MARCEL FRATZSCHER, European Central Bank |
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11:00 am |
EFWW |
TANYA MOLODTSOVA and |
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Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Predictability with Taylor
Rule Fundamentals |
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11:10 am |
DAE |
FRANCISCO GALLEGO, |
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MIRIAM BRUHN, MIT |
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Good, Bad, and Ugly Colonial Activities: Studying
Development Across the Americas |
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1:00 pm |
DAE |
DOUGLAS IRWIN, |
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Trade
Restrictiveness and Deadweight Losses from U.S. Tariffs, 1859-1961 |
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1:00 pm |
ME |
Discussion with BEN S. BERNANKE, Chairman, Board of Governors of
the Federal Reserve System |
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2:10 pm |
DAE |
KANDA NAKNOI, |
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Tariffs and the
Expansion of the American Pig Iron Industry, 1870-1940 |
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3:00 pm |
ME |
KENNETH KUTTNER, |
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ADAM POSEN, Peterson Institute for International Economics |
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3:15 pm |
DAE |
CHRISTOPHER |
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Marine Insurance in Philadelphia during the Quasi-War
with France, 1795-1801 |
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WEDNESDAY, JULY 11: |
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8:30 am |
EFWW |
TORBEN ANDERSEN, Northwestern University and NBER |
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TIM BOLLERSLEV, |
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NOUR MEDDAHI, |
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Realized Volatility Forecasting and Market
Microstructure Noise |
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9:00 am |
DAE |
MARC LAW, |
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MINDY MARKS, UC, |
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Effects of Occupational Licensing Laws on Minorities:
Evidence from the Progressive Era |
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9:00 am |
IFM |
INDRIT HOXHA, |
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SEBNEM KALEMLI-OZCAN, |
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DIETZ VOLLRATH, |
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International
Financial Integration, Allocative Efficiency and Economic Growth |
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9:45 am |
EFWW |
ALEXEI ONATSKI, |
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A Formal Statistical
Test for The Number of Factors in the
Approximate Factor Models |
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10:05 am |
DAE |
ROLAND FRYER, |
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STEVEN LEVITT, |
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Hatred, Profits, and
Politics: Getting under the Hood of the Ku Klux Klan |
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10:40 am |
IFM |
MARIA GIDUSKOVA and BORJA LARRAIN, Federal
Reserve Bank of |
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International Risk-Taking, Volatility and Consumption
Growth |
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11:00 am |
EFWW |
CATHERINE DOZ, Université Cergy-Pontoise |
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DOMENICO GIANNONE, Université Libre de Bruxelles |
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LUCREZIA REICHLIN, European Central Bank |
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A Quasi Maximum
Likelihood Approach for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models |
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11:10 am |
DAE |
PAUL RHODE, |
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ALAN OLMSTEAD, UC, Davis |
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FABIAN LANGE, |
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The Impact of the Boll
Weevil, 1892-1940 |
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1:00 pm |
DAE |
TOMAS CVRCEK, |
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Mothers, Wives, and
Workers: The Dynamics of White Fertility, Marriage and Womens Labor Supply
in the |
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1:00 pm |
ME |
MARK ZBARACKI, |
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MARK |
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DANIEL LEVY, |
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The Anatomy of a
Price Cut: Discovering Organizational
Sources of the Costs of Price Adjustment |
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1:55 pm |
ME |
CHRISTIAN BRODA, |
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DAVID WEINSTEIN, |
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Product Creation and Destruction: Evidence and Price Implications |
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2:00 pm |
IASE |
STEPHEN HABER, |
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The Political Economy
of Banking Development: Evidence from
the Economic History of the |
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2:10 pm |
DAE |
TBA |
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3:00 pm |
IASE |
LUIS FELIPE LÓPEZ-CALVA, |
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The Inequality Trap and
its Links to Low Growth in |
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3:05 pm |
ME |
Discussion of Recent Developments in the Conduct of Monetary
Policy |
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in |
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LARS E. O. SVENSSON, |
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KNUT ANTON MORK, Handelsbanken Capital Markets |
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FRANCESCO GIAVAZZI, Università Bocconi and NBER |
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3:15 pm |
DAE |
TREVON |
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Economies of
Scale in the Household: Evidence and Implications from the American Past |
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4:00 pm |
IASE |
MARIANO TOMMASI, |
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Political
Institutions, Policymaking Processes and Policy Outcomes in |
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THURSDAY, JULY 12: |
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8:30 am |
EFWW |
SEAN CAMPBELL and STEVEN SHARPE, Federal Reserve Board |
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Anchoring Bias In Consensus Forecasts And Its Effect on
Market Prices |
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9:00 am |
DAE |
RICHARD HORNBECK, MIT |
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Good Fences Make Good Neighbors: Evidence on the Effects
of Property Rights |
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9:00 am |
IASE |
SEBASTIAN EDWARDS, UC, |
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9:00 am |
IFM |
GIANCARLO CORSETTI, European University
Institute |
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PHILIPPE MARTIN, Université Paris-I
Panthéon-Sorbonne |
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PAOLO PESENTI, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
and NBER |
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Varieties and the
Transfer Problem: the Extensive Margin of Current Account Adjustment |
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9:45 am |
EFWW |
MIKHAIL CHERNOV, London Business School |
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PHILLIPE MUELLER, Columbia University |
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The Term Structure of
Inflation Forecasts |
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10:00 am |
IASE |
ANIL KASHYAP, University of Chicago and NBER |
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10:05 am |
DAE |
CAROLYN MOEHLING, Rutgers University and NBER |
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ANNE MORRISON PIEHL, Rutgers University and NBER |
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10:40 am |
IFM |
VIRAL ACHARYA, London Business School |
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HYUN SONG SHIN, Princeton University |
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TANJU YORULMAZER |
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11:00 am |
EFWW |
ANDREW PATTON, London School of Economics |
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ALLAN TIMMERMANN, UC, San Diego |
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How Fast is
Macroeconomic Uncertainty Resolved? Theory and Empirical Evidence from the
Term Structure of Forecast Errors |
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11:10 am |
DAE |
JESUS VIEJO, Boston University |
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Migration, Sex
Ratios and Violent Crime: Evidence from Mexicos Municipalities |
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1:00 pm |
AP |
MARK BROADIE, Columbia University |
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MIKHAIL CHERNOV, London Business School |
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MICHAEL JOHANNES, Columbia University |
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1:00 pm |
EFSF |
XIAOHONG CHEN and JACK FAVALUKIS, New York University |
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SYDNEY LUDVIGSON, New York University and NBER |
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1:00 pm |
ME |
SIMON GILCHRIST, Boston University and NBER |
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EGON ZAKRAJSEK, Federal Reserve Board |
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Investment and the Cost of Capital: New Evidence
from the Corporate Bond Market |
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1:55 pm |
ME |
THOMAS PHILIPPON, New York University and NBER |
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The Y-Theory of
Investment |
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2:00 pm |
EFSF |
YURIY GORODNICHENKO, UC, Berkeley |
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SERENA NG, University of Michigan |
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Estimation of DSGE
Models When the Data are Nonstationary |
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2:15 pm |
AP |
TIM BOLLERSLEV, Duke University and NBER |
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HAO ZHOU, Federal Reserve Board |
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3:30 pm |
AP |
JOSHUA COVAL, Harvard University and NBER |
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JAKUB JUREK and ERIK STAFFORD, Harvard University |
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3:30 pm |
EFSF |
N. GREGORY MANKIW, Harvard University and NBER |
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RICARDO REIS, Princeton University and NBER |
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Sticky Information in
General Equilibrium |
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3:05 pm |
ME |
PETER KLENOW, Stanford University and NBER |
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JONATHAN WILLIS, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City |
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4:30 pm |
EFSF |
MARK GERTLER, New York University and NBER |
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LUCA SALA and ANTONELLA TRIGARI, Bocconi University |
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An Estimated Monetary
DSGE Model with Unemployment and Staggered Nominal Wage Bargaining |
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FRIDAY, JULY 13: |
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8:30 am |
AP |
NICOLAE GARLEANU, University of Pennsylvania and NBER |
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STAVROS PANAGEAS, University of Pennsylvania |
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8:30 am |
EFWW |
FRANK KLEIBERGEN and SOPHOCLES MAVROEIDIS, Brown University |
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9:00 am |
EFJK |
ELLEN MCGRATTAN, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis and NBER |
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EDWARD PRESCOTT, Arizona State University and NBER |
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Openness, Technology
Capital, and Development |
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9:00 am |
IFM |
PINELOPI GOLDBERG, Yale University and NBER |
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REBECCA HELLERSTEIN, Federal Reserve Bank of
New York and NBER |
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A Framework for
identifying the Sources of Local-Currency Price Stability with an Empirical
Application |
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9:45 am |
AP |
GEORG KALTENBRUNNER and LARS LOCHSTOER |
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London Business School |
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9:45 am |
EFWW |
ANNA MIKUSHEVA, MIT |
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10:15 am |
EFJK |
ROC ARMENTER, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
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AMARTYA LAHIRI, University of British Columbia |
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Endogenous
Productivity and Development Accounting |
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10:40 am |
IFM |
PATRICK KEHOE and VIRGILIU MIDRIGAN, Federal
Reserve Bank of Minneapolis and NBER |
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Can Heterogeneity in
Price Stickiness Account for the Dispersion in the Law of One Price
Deviations? |
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11:00 am |
AP |
GUILLAUME PLANTIN, London Business School |
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HYUN SONG SHIN, Princeton University |
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11:00 am |
EFWW |
ULRICH MÜLLER, Princeton University |
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MARK WATSON, Princeton University and NBER |
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11:15 am |
EFJK |
LAURA ALFARO, Harvard University and NBER |
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ANDREW CHARLTON, London School of Economics |
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FABIO KANCZUK, Universidad de Sao Paolo |
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1:00 pm |
AP |
GERARD HOBERG, University of Maryland |
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IVO WELCH, Brown University and NBER |
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1:00 pm |
ME |
YURIY GORODNICHENKO, UC, Berkeley |
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Endogenous
Information, Menu Costs and Inflation Persistence |
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1:00 pm |
EFSF |
ROGER FARMER, UC, Los Angeles and NBER |
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DANIEL WAGGONER and TAO ZHA, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta |
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Understanding New
Keynesian Models When Monetary Policy Switches Regimes |
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1:15 pm |
EFJK |
JAMES FEYRER, Dartmouth College |
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BRUCE SACERDOTE, Dartmouth College and NBER |
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Colonialism and Modern
Income -- Islands as Natural Experiments |
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1:55 pm |
ME |
ROBERT HALL, Stanford University and NBER |
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2:00 pm |
EFSF |
SOPHOCLES MAVROEIDIS, Brown University |
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Testing for
Indeterminacy in U.S. Monetary Policy |
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2:15 pm |
AP |
LAUREN COHEN, Yale University |
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ANDREA FRAZZINI, University of Chicago and NBER |
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CHRISTOPHER MALLOY, London Business School |
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The Small World
of Investing: Board Connections and Mutual Fund Returns |
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2:30 pm |
EFJK |
FRANCISCO BUERA, Northwestern University |
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JOSEPH KABOSKI, Ohio State University |
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3:05 pm |
ME |
RICARDO REIS and MARK WATSON, Princeton University and NBER |
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3:30 pm |
AP |
RALPH KOIJEN, Tilburg University |
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OTTO VAN HEMERT, New York University |
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STIJN VAN NIEUWERBURGH, New York University and NBER |
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3:30 pm |
EFJK |
DARON ACEMOGLU, MIT and NBER |
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UFUK AKCIGIT, MIT |
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3:30 pm |
EFSF |
GLENN RUDEBUSCH, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco |
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BRIAN SACK Federal Reserve Board |
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ERIC SWANSON, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco |
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Macroeconomic
Implications of Changes in the Term Premium |
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4:30 pm |
EFSF |
KAI CHRISTOFFEL, GUENTER COENEN and ANDERS WARNE, European
Central Bank |
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Conditional and
Unconditional Forecasting with the New Area-Wide Model of the Euro Area |
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SATURDAY, JULY 14: |
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9:00 am |
EFG |
RICHARD ROGERSON, |
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JOHANNA WALLENIUS, |
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Micro and Macro
Elasticities in a Life Cycle Model with Taxes |
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10:30 am |
EFG |
ENRIQUE MENDOZA, |
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VINCENZO QUADRINI, |
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JOSE-VICTOR RIOS-RULL, |
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Financial
Integration, Financial Deepness and Global Imbalances |
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11:30 am |
EFG |
WILLIAM DUPOR, JING HAN and YI CHAN TSAI, |
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What do Technology
Shocks Tell Us about the New Keynesian Paradigm? |
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1:30 pm |
EFG |
DARON ACEMOGLU and SIMON JOHNSON, MIT and NBER |
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Disease and
Development: The Effect of Life
Expectancy on Economic Growth |
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3:00 pm |
EFG |
NIR JAIMOVICH, |
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HENRY SIU, |
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The Young, the
Old, and the Restless: Demographics and Business Cycle Volatility |
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4:00 pm |
EFG |
GUIDO MENZIO, |
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