SI 2024 Impulse and Propagation Mechanisms

Lawrence Christiano and Martin S. Eichenbaum, Organizers

July 8-12, 2024

University BC

Royal Sonesta Hotel, Edwin H. Land Blvd., Cambridge, MA and zoom.us

Conference Code of Conduct

Monday, July 8
9:00 am
Coffee and Pastries
9:30 am
Ester Faia, Goethe University Frankfurt
Ekaterina Shabalina, Reserve Bank of Australia

What Central Bankers Can Learn from Models with Idiosyncratic Risk
10:15 am
Asger L. Andersen, University of Copenhagen
Kilian Huber, University of Chicago and NBER
Niels Johannesen, University of Oxford
Ludwig Straub, Harvard University and NBER
Emil Toft Vestergaard, University of Copenhagen

Disaggregated Economic Accounts
11:00 am
Break
11:15 am
Francesco Bianchi, Johns Hopkins University and NBER
Cosmin L. Ilut, Duke University and NBER
Hikaru Saijo, University of California, Santa Cruz

Smooth Diagnostic Expectations
12:00 pm
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, University of Pennsylvania and NBER
Oren Levintal, Reichman University

The Distributional Effects of Asset Returns
12:45 pm
Lunch and Adjourn
Tuesday, July 9
9:00 am
Coffee and Pastries
9:30 am
Frank Smets, European Central Bank
Rafael Wouters, National Bank of Belgium

Fiscal Backing, Inflation and US Business Cycles
10:15 am
Tomás E. Caravello, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Alisdair McKay, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Christian K. Wolf, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and NBER

Evaluating Policy Counterfactuals: A "VAR-Plus" Approach
11:00 am
Break
11:15 am
Paul Castillo, Central Bank of Peru
Ruy E. Lama, International Monetary Fund
Juan Pablo Medina, Universidad Adolfo Ibanez

Escaping the Financial Dollarization Trap: The Role of Foreign Exchange Intervention
12:00 pm
Enrique G. Mendoza, University of Pennsylvania and NBER
Vincenzo Quadrini, University of Southern California and NBER

The Surge in Emerging Markets’ International Reserves and the Rise in Global Volatility
12:45 pm
Lunch and Adjourn
Wednesday, July 10
9:00 am
Coffee and Pastries
9:30 am
Christopher Clayton, Yale University and NBER
Matteo Maggiori, Stanford University and NBER
Jesse Schreger, Columbia University and NBER

A Framework for Geoeconomics
10:15 am
Michelle Alexopoulos, University of Toronto
Xinfen Han, Bank of Canada
Oleksiy Kryvtsov, Bank of Canada
Xu Zhang, Bank of Canada

Mixed Signals? How Media Distills Central Bank Messages (slides)
11:00 am
Break
11:15 am
Stefano Eusepi, Brown University
Marc P. Giannoni, Barclays Corporate and Investment Bank
Bruce Preston, University of Melbourne

Distorted Beliefs, Asset Pricing and Monetary Policy
12:00 pm
Luca Gagliardone, New York University
Mark Gertler, New York University and NBER
Simone Lenzu, New York University
Joris Tielens, National Bank of Belgium

Nonlinear Cost Price Dynamics: Firm Level Evidence and Aggregate Consequences (slides)
12:45 pm
Lunch and Adjourn
Thursday, July 11
9:00 am
Coffee and Pastries
9:30 am
Florin O. Bilbiie, University of Cambridge
Diego R. Känzig, Northwestern University and NBER

Greed? Profits, Inflation, and Aggregate Demand
10:15 am
Joao Guerreiro, University of California, Los Angeles
Jonathon Hazell, London School of Economics
Chen Lian, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
Christina Patterson, University of Chicago and NBER

Why do Workers Dislike Inflation? Wage Erosion and Conflict Costs
11:00 am
Break
11:15 am
Hassan Afrouzi, Columbia University and NBER
Joel P. Flynn, Yale University
Choongryul Yang, Federal Reserve Board

What Can Measured Beliefs Tell Us About Monetary Non-Neutrality?
12:00 pm
Michael Weber, University of Chicago and NBER
Bernardo Candia, University of California, Berkeley
Hassan Afrouzi, Columbia University and NBER
Tiziano Ropele, Bank of Italy
Rodrigo Lluberas, Universidad ORT Uruguay
Serafin Frache, Universidad de Montevideo
Brent H. Meyer, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Saten Kumar, AUT University
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
Dimitris Georgarakos, European Central Bank

Tell me Something I don't Already Know
12:45 pm
Lunch and Adjourn
Friday, July 12
9:00 am
Coffee and Pastries
9:30 am
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé, Columbia University and NBER
Martín Uribe, Columbia University and NBER

Heterogeneous Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity: Foundations of a Nonlinear Phillips Curve (slides)
10:15 am
Andres Blanco, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Corina Boar, New York University and NBER
Callum J. Jones, Federal Reserve Board
Virgiliu Midrigan, New York University and NBER

The Inflation Accelerator
11:00 am
Break
11:15 am
Oliver Pfäuti, University of Texas at Austin

The Inflation Attention Threshold and Inflation Surges (slides)
12:00 pm
Christopher Erceg, International Monetary Fund
Jesper Lindé, Sveriges Riksbank
Mathias Trabandt, Goethe University Frankfurt

Monetary Policy and Inflation Scares
12:45 pm
Lunch and Adjourn