Wednesday, March 26
6:00 pm
Welcome Dinner at H.C. Coombs Conference Centre
Thursday, March 27
Topic: Fragmentations
Format: 40 minutes presentation, 10 minutes discussion, and 10 minutes floor Q&A/discussion.
9:00 am
Registration and Welcome Coffee
9:30 am
Welcoming Remarks:
Warwick McKibbin, Australian National University
Takeo Hoshi, University of Tokyo
Chair: Takeo Hoshi, University of Tokyo
9:40 am

What Determined the Evolution of Globalization During 1995-2017 (slides)

Haichao Fan, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
Edwin Lai, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
Steffan Chi, Shenzhen University

Discussant:
Jarkko Jaaskela, Reserve Bank of Australia
10:40 am
Break
Chair: Dongchul Cho, Bank of Korea
11:00 am

Long-Term Projections of the World Economy

Larry Weifeng Liu, Australian National University
Warwick McKibbin, Australian National University

Discussant:
Alan Woodland, University of New South Wales
12:00 pm
Lunch
Chair: Donghai Zhang, National University of Singapore
1:00 pm

Neoclassical Growth in an Interdependent World

Benny Kleinman, Stanford University and NBER
Ernest Liu, Princeton University and NBER
Stephen J. Redding, Princeton University and NBER
Motohiro Yogo, Princeton University and NBER

Discussant:
John Romalis, Macquarie University
2:00 pm

Banking in Production Networks: Evidence and Theory from Supply Chain Finance

Wukuang Cun, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
Dongmei Guo, Central University of Finance and Economics
Junjie Xia, Peking University
Changhua Yu, Peking University

Discussant:
Jenny Corbett, Australian National University
3:00 pm
Break
Chair: Renée Fry-McKibbin, Australian National University
3:30 pm

The Impact of the US-China Trade War on Taiwan’s International Trade (slides)

Loretta Fung, National Tsing Hua University
Jin-Tan Liu, National Taiwan University and NBER
Heiwai Tang, Hong Kong University
Chun-Yen Wu, Chung-Hua Institution for Economic Research

Discussant:
Shiro P. Armstrong, Australian National University
4:30 pm

Disruption Risk Evaluation on a Large-scale Production Network with Establishments and Products (slides)

Hiroyasu Inoue, University of Hyogo
Yasuyuki Todo, Waseda University and TCER

Discussant:
Vladimir Tyazhelnikov, The University of Sydney
5:30 pm
Adjourn
6:00 pm
Dinner (upon invitation)
Remarks by Claude Lopez, Reserve Bank of Australia
Friday, March 28
9:00 am
Registration and Welcome Coffee
Chair: John Boulter, Reserve Bank of Australia
9:30 am

The Great Firewall and Knowledge Diffusion

Andrew B. Bernard, Dartmouth College and NBER

Discussant:
Chanelle L. Duley, University of Auckland
10:30 am
Break
Chair: Thuy-Hang Duong, Australian National University
11:00 am

A Theory of International Official Lending

Qing Liu, Tsinghua University
Zanhui Liu, Tsinghua University
Vivian Yue, Emory University and NBER

Discussant:
Sheng Cai, City University of Hong Kong
12:00 pm
Lunch
Chair: Larry Weifeng Liu, Australian National University
1:00 pm

Industrial Policies for Multi-Stage Production: The Battle for Battery-Powered Vehicles

Marc Melitz, Harvard University and NBER
Keith Head, University of British Columbia
Thierry Mayer, Sciences-Po
Chenying Yang, Singapore Management University

Discussant:
Alastair Fraser, The University of Sydney
2:00 pm

Culture, Global Sourcing and Friendshoring

Chanelle L. Duley, University of Auckland
Prasanna Gai, University of Auckland

Discussant:
Emma Aisbett, Australian National University
3:00 pm
Break
Chair: Benjamin Faber, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
3:30 pm

Who Reshores? (slides)

Sunghoon Chung, Korea Development Institute
Daria Taglioni, The World Bank

Discussant:
Prasanna Gai, University of Auckland
4:30 pm

Global Value Chains and Aggregate Income Volatility (slides)

Yoichi Sugita, Hitotsubashi University
Yohei Yamamoto, Hitotsubashi University
Amanda Jakobsson, Singapore Management University
Taiji Furusawa, University of Tokyo

Discussant:
Donghai Zhang, National University of Singapore
5:30 pm
Closing Remarks: Benjamin Faber, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
Adjourn
This seminar is sponsored by the NBER, CAMA (Australia), NDS at Peking University, CIER (Taiwan), HKUST, KDI, RBA, Singapore NUS Business School, TCER and Tsinghua University.