East Asian Seminar on Economics

Takatoshi Ito and Andrew K. Rose, Organizers

June 6-7, 2019

Hosted by Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research (PIER), Bank of Thailand

Bank of Thailand, 273 Samsen Road, Bangkok 10200, Thailand

Conference Code of Conduct

Thursday, June 6
8:00 am
Shuttle van departs Royal Orchid Sheraton for Bank of Thailand
8:30 am
Registration
8:55 am
Welcome Remark, Bank of Thailand Governor Veerathai Santiprabhob
Labor Market
9:00 am
Peter K. Schott, Yale University and NBER
Andrew Greenland, North Carolina State University
Mihai Ion, The University of Arizona
John Lopresti, College of William and Mary

Using Equity Market Reactions to Infer Exposure to Trade Liberalization

(discussant slides)
Discussants: Wisarut Suwanprasert, Middle Tennessee State University
Kanis Saengchote, Chulalongkorn University
9:55 am
Shujiro Urata, Waseda University and ERIA
Kazunobu Hayakawa, Institute of Developing Economies
Tadashi Ito, Gakushuin University

Impacts of Increased Chinese Imports on Japan's Labor Market
Discussants: Pushan Dutt, INSEAD
Junko Shimizu, Gakushuin University
10:50 am
Coffee Break

Effects of Integration
11:10 am
Minho Kim, Korea Development Institute
Iona Hyojung Lee, Singapore Management University

The Impact of Chinese Imports on Korean Manufacturing Plants
Discussants: Keiko Ito, Chuo University
Juthathip Jongwanich, Thammasat University
12:05 pm
Yu-Yin Wu, Chung-Hua Institution for Economic Research
Shih Hui-Tzu, Chung-Hua Institution for Economic Research
Chu-Hsuan Su, Chung Hua Institution for Economic Research
Chu-Nan Hu, Chung-Hua Institution for Economic Research

Impact of Regional Economic Integration on Taiwan's Industrial Supply Chain of Vehicles (slides)
Discussants: Archanun Kophaiboon, Thammasat University
Shujiro Urata, Waseda University and ERIA
1:00 pm
Lunch

Chinese Developments
2:30 pm
Bingjing Li, University of Hong Kong
Loren Brandt, University of Toronto
Peter Morrow, University of Toronto

Is Processing Good? Theory and Evidence from China

(discussant slides)
Discussants: Yatang Lin, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
Vlad Sushko, Bank for International Settlements
3:25 pm
Hong Ma, Tsinghua University
Peter Eppinger, Tubingen University

Optimal Ownership and Firm Performance: Theory and Evidence from China’s FDI Liberalization
Discussants: Bingjing Li, University of Hong Kong
Yao Amber Li, Hong Kong University of Science & Technology
4:20 pm
Coffee Break
4:45 pm
Keynote Speaker: Anne Krueger, Johns Hopkins University and NBER
5:30 pm
Adjourn
6:30 pm
Dinner at Bank of Thailand
Friday, June 7
8:00 am
Shuttle van departs Royal Orchid Sheraton for Bank of Thailand
8:30 am
Coffee/Tea

Production, 1
9:00 am
Teresa C. Fort, Dartmouth College and NBER
Frederic Warzynski, Aarhus University
Andrew B. Bernard, Dartmouth College and NBER
Valerie Smeets, Aarhus University

Heterogeneous Globalization: Offshoring and Reorganization
Discussants: Sunghoon Chung, Korea Development Institute
Wisarut Suwanprasert, Middle Tennessee State University
9:55 am
Edwin Lai, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
Steffan Qi , Hong Kong Baptist University
Heiwai Tang, Hong Kong University

Global Sourcing and Domestic Value-added in Gross Exports (slides)
Discussants: Lin Ma, Singapore Management University
Ayako Obashi, Aoyama Gakuin University
10:50 am
Coffee Break
11:10 am
Yong Wang, Peking University
Shang-Jin Wei, Columbia University and NBER

The Sandwich Effect: Challenges for Middle-Income Countries (slides)
Discussants: Kazunobu Hayakawa, Institute of Developing Economies
Lin Ma, Singapore Management University
12:05 pm
Lunch

Production, 2
1:30 pm
Toshihiro Okubo, Keio University
Richard Baldwin, International Institute for Management Development and NBER

GVC Journeys: Industrialisation and Deindustrialisation in the Age of the Second Unbundling
Discussants: Fukunari Kimura, Keio University and TCER
Archanun Kophaiboon, Thammasat University
2:25 pm
Ayako Obashi, Aoyama Gakuin University
Fukunari Kimura, Keio University and TCER

New Developments in International Production Networks: Impact of Digital Technologies
Discussants: Juthathip Jongwanich, Thammasat University
Steffan Qi, Hong Kong Baptist University
3:20 pm
Coffee Break

Conflict
3:40 pm
Rodney Tyers, Australian National University
Yixiao Zhou , Curtin University

US-China Rivalry: The Macro Policy Choices (slides)

(discussant slides)
Discussants: Francisco Dakila, Jr., Central Bank of the Philippines
James Villafuerte, Asian Development Bank
4:35 pm
Arnaud Costinot, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and NBER
Iván Werning, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and NBER

Robots, Trade, and Luddism
Discussants: Elisabetta Gentile, Asian Development Bank
Kaipichit Ruengsrichaiya, Securities and Exchange Commission of Thailand
5:30 pm
Adjourn
6:30 pm
Dinner at Royal Orchid Sheraton Hotel

Session Format:
Each paper has 55 minutes: 20 min for author; 2 x 10 min for discussants; 10 min floor; 5 min response by author.
Emergency Contact:
Archawa Paweenawat, Bank of Thailand
Tel:+66-2-283-6721
E-mail: ArchawaP@bot.or.th

Transportation


Co-Sponsoring Organizations:
TCER, KDI, HKUST, CIER (Taiwan), CCER, Singapore NUS Business School, CAMA (Australia)