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NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
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Edward Schlee

Arizona State University

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Institutional Affiliation: Arizona State University

NBER Working Papers and Publications

November 2016The Welfare Cost of Uncertainty in Policy Outcomes
with V. Kerry Smith: w22864
This paper proposes a simple index of the welfare significance of uncertainty in the public goods resulting as policy outcomes. Our measure is the ex ante compensation an individual would require to accept an uncertain level of service compared to receiving the expected value of the distribution of possible values for that service. Our compensation measure is a function of the coefficient of relative risk aversion, the variance in the measure of environmental service associated with policy and relevant for the individual, and a set of conventional parameters that describe the properties of nonmarket benefit measures under conditions of certainty. We would expect that the inverse virtual price elasticity of the for the environmental service and the square of the coefficient of relative var...

Published: Edward E. Schlee & V. Kerry Smith, 2019. "The welfare cost of uncertainty in policy outcomes," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. citation courtesy of

 
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