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NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC. 

SI 2016 Development of the American Economy 

Charles Calomiris, Karen Clay, and Trevon Logan, Organizers 

July 11-14, 2016 

NBER
2^nd Floor Conference Room
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA

PROGRAM

Monday, July 11
8:00 am	Shuttle Bus from the Royal Sonesta Hotel to the NBER
8:30 am	Coffee and pastries
9:00 am	Mark Koyama, George Mason University Melanie Meng Xue, University of California at Los Angeles Autocratic Rule and Social Capital: Evidence from Imperial China
10:00 am	Melissa Dell, Harvard University and NBER Pablo Querubin, New York University Nation Building Through Foreign Intervention: Evidence from Discontinuities in Military Strategies
11:00 am	Break
11:15 am	Egg Timer Session 1
	Peter Lindert, University of California at Davis and NBER Purchasing Power Disparity: Who Could Consume More before 1914?
	Changkeun Lee, Korea Development Institute The Great Depression and the Cleansing Hypothesis
	Huixin Bi, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Nora Traum, North Carolina State University Sovereign Risk and Fiscal (In)attention: A Look at the U.S. State Default of the 1840s
	Eric Edwards, Utah State University Steven Smith, University of Colorado The Role of Irrigation in the Development of American Agriculture
	Richard Steckel, Ohio State University and NBER Sweet Blood: Biological Human Capital and the Peril of Rapid Economic Growth
	Philipp Ager, University of Southern Denmark Francesco Cinnirella, Ifo Institute for Economic Research Peter Jensen, University of Southern Denmark The Kindergarten Movement and the US Demographic Transition
11:50 am	Lunch
1:00 pm	Joshua Hausman, University of Michigan and NBER Paul Rhode, University of Michigan and NBER Johannes Wieland, University of California at San Diego and NBER Recovery from the Great Depression: The Farm Channel in Spring 1933
2:00 pm	Mark Paddrik, Office of Financial Research Haelim Park, Department of the Treasury Jessie Jiaxu Wang, Arizona State University Bank Networks and Systemic Risk: Evidence from the National Banking Acts
3:00 pm	Break
3:15 pm	Christoffer Koch, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Patrick Van Horn, Southwestern University Bank Leverage Trends and Cycles during the National Banking Era
4:15 pm	Adjourn
4:30 pm	Shuttle Bus from the NBER to the Royal Sonesta Hotel
Tuesday, July 12
8:00 am	Shuttle Bus from the Royal Sonesta Hotel to the NBER
8:30 am	Coffee and pastries
9:00 am	Jeremiah Dittmar, London School of Economics Ralf Meisenzahl, Federal Reserve Board State Capacity and Public Goods: Institutions, Human Capital, and Growth in Early Modern Germany
10:00 am	Christian Dippel, University of California at Los Angeles and NBER Jean-Paul Carvalho, University of California at Irvine Elite Fragmentation, Co-option and the Iron Law of Oligarchy: Theory and a Tale of 14 Islands
11:00 am	Break
11:15 am	Egg Timer Session 2
	Angela Vossmeyer, Claremont McKenna College Analysis of Stigma and Bank Behavior
	Matthew Jaremski, Colgate University and NBER Price Fishback, University of Arizona and NBER Did Inequality in Farm Sizes Lead to Suppression of Banking and Credit in the Late Nineteenth Century?
	Richard Sutch, University of California at Riverside and NBER The One-Percent across Two Centuries: A Replication of Thomas The One-Percent across Two Centuries: A Replication of Thomas Piketty’s Data On the Concentration of Wealth in the United States
	Farley Grubb, University of Delaware and NBER Colonial Virginia's Paper Money Regime, 1755-1774: Value Decomposition and Performance
	Alan Olmstead, University of California at Davis Paul Rhode, University of Michigan and NBER Richard Steckel, Ohio State University and NBER Picking and Pregnancy: The Field Productivity of Slave Women Michael Andrews, University of Iowa The Causal Effect of Colleges on Local Patenting: Evidence from the Formative Years of U.S. Higher Education, 1870-1940 William Collins, Vanderbilt University and NBER Gregory Niemesh, Miami University of Ohio Unions and the Great Compression of American Inequality Claudia Olivetti, Boston College and NBER Danielle Paserman, Boston University and NBER Laura Salisbury, York University Assortative Mating in the United States, 1850-1940
	Scott Fulford, Boston College Felipe Schwartzman, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond The Benefits of Commitment to a Currency Peg: Lessons from the National Banking System
11:55 am	Lunch
1:00 pm	Joshua Lewis, University of Montreal Edson Severnini, Carnegie Mellon University The Value of Rural Electricity: Evidence from the Rollout of the U.S. Power Grid
2:00 pm	Break
2:15 pm	Miguel Morin, University of Cambridge Rowena Gray, University of California at Davis Paul Gaggl, University of North Carolina at Charlotte Technological Revolutions and Occupational Change: Electrifying News from the Old Days
3:15 pm	Adjourn
3:30 pm	Shuttle Bus from the NBER to the Royal Sonesta Hotel
Wednesday, July 13
8:00 am	Shuttle Bus from the Royal Sonesta Hotel to the NBER
8:30 am	Coffee and pastries
9:00 am	Nathaniel Hilger, Brown University and NBER Upward Mobility and Discrimination: The Case of Asian-Americans
10:00 am	Daniel Shoag, Harvard University Nicholas Carollo, University of California at Los Angeles The Causal Effect of Place: Evidence from Japanese-American Internment
10:15 am	Break
11:15 am	Howard Bodenhorn, Clemson University and NBER Blind Tigers and Red Tape Cocktails: Liquor Control and Homicide in Late Nineteenth-Century South Carolina
12:15 pm	Lunch and Graduate Student Poster Presentations
	Ethan Schmick, University of Pittsburgh Sara Lowes, Harvard University Colin Weiss, University of California at Los Angeles Morgan Henderson, University of Michigan Alexander Persaud, University of Michigan Lauren Hoehn, Boston College Death in the County: The Role of Rural Health Investments in the American Child Mortality Decline Santiago Perez, Stanford University Gillian Burnet, University of California at Berkeley Craig Palsson, Yale University
1:15 pm	Bryan Leonard, Arizona State University Gary Libecap, University of California at Santa Barbara and NBER First Possession of Water in the American West: An Economic Analysis of Property Rights
2:15 pm	Martin Fiszbein, Boston University Agricultural Diversity, Structural Change and Long-run Development: Evidence from US Counties
3:15 pm	Break
3:30 pm	Taylor Jaworski, Queen's University and NBER Carl Kitchens, Florida State University and NBER National Policy for Regional Development: Evidence from Appalachian Highways
4:30 pm	Adjourn
4:45 pm	Shuttle Bus from the NBER to the Royal Sonesta Hotel
6:00 pm	Clambake at Royal Sonesta Hotel
Thursday, July 14
8:00 am	Shuttle Bus from the Royal Sonesta Hotel to the NBER
8:30 am	Coffee and pastries
9:00 am	Ufuk Akcigit, University of Chicago and NBER John Grigsby, University of Chicago Tom Nicholas, Harvard University The Birth of American Ingenuity: Innovation and Inventors of the Golden Age
10:00 am	Barbara Biasi, Stanford University Petra Moser, New York University and NBER Effects of Copyrights on Science: Evidence from the World War II Book Republication Program
11:00 am	Break
11:15 am	Remi Jedwab, George Washington University Noel Johnson, George Mason University Mark Koyama, George Mason University Bones, Bacteria and Break Points: The Heterogeneous Spatial Effects of the Black Death and Long-Run Growth
12:15 pm	Adjourn and lunch