NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC.

 

INTER-AMERICAN SEMINAR ON ECONOMICS

 

The Aftermath of Debt Restructuring and Default

 

 Sebastian Edwards and Carmen M. Reinhart, Organizers

 

Royal Sonesta Hotel

5 Cambridge Parkway

Cambridge, Massachusetts

 

July 12, 2004

 

PROGRAM

 

 

MONDAY, JULY 12:

 

 

 8:30 a.m.

Coffee and Pastries

 

 

 9:00 a.m.

MARK AGUIAR and GITA GOPINATH, University of Chicago

 

Emerging Market Business Cycles: The Cycle is the Trend

 

 

 

Discussant:  PIERRE-OLIVIER GOURINCHAS, UC, Berkeley and NBER

 

 

 9:50 a.m.

Break

 

 

10:00 a.m.

ALEJANDRO NEUT, BBVA in Madrid

 

ANDRES VELASCO, Harvard University and NBER

 

Tough Policies, Incredible Policies?

 

 

 

Discussant:  CARLOS ZARAZAGA, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

 

 

10:50 a.m.

Break

 

 

11:00 a.m.

JUAN CARLOS BERGANZA and ALICIA GARCIA HERRERO, Banco de España

 

What Makes Balance Sheet Effects Detrimental for the Country Risk Premium?

 

 

 

Discussant:  SERGIO SCHMUKLER, The World Bank

 

 

12:00 N

Lunch

 

 

1:30 p.m.

ASSAF RAZIN, Tel Aviv University and NBER

 

YONA RUBINSTEIN, Tel Aviv University

 

Growth Effects of Exchange Rate Regimes and Capital Account Liberalization

 

in the Presence of Crises: A Nuanced View

 

 

 

Discussant:  MENZIE CHINN, University of Wisconsin and NBER

 

 

 2:20 p.m.

EMANUEL KOHLSCHEEN, University of Warwick

 

Sovereign Risk: Constitutions Rule

 

 

 

Discussant:  MICHAEL KUMHOF, International Monetary Fund

 

 

 3:10 p.m.

Break

 

 

 3:20 p.m.

FEDERICO WEINSCHELBAUM, Universidad de San Andres

 

JOSE WYNNE, Duke University

 

Renegotiation, Collective Action Clauses and Sovereign Debt Markets

 

 

 

Discussant:  EDUARDO LEVY-YEYATI, Universidad Torcuato di Tella

 

 

 4:10 p.m.

JACQUES MINIANE, International Monetary Fund

 

JOHN ROGERS, Federal Reserve Board

 

Capital Controls and the International Transmission of U.S. Money Shocks

 

 

 

Discussant:  HALI EDISON, International Monetary Fund

 

 

 5:00 p.m.

Adjourn

 

 

 7:00 p.m.

Group Dinner

 

Royal Sonesta Hotel

 

 

 

 

5/28/04