SI 2018 Behavioral Macro

Andrew Caplin and Michael Woodford, Organizers

July 13, 2018

University Rooms

Royal Sonesta Hotel, 40 Edwin H. Land Blvd., Cambridge, MA

Conference Code of Conduct

Friday, July 13
8:00 am
Coffee and Pastries
8:30 am
Olivier Coibion, University of Texas at Austin and NBER
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
Saten Kumar, AUT University
Jane M. Ryngaert, University of Notre Dame

Do You Know That I Know You Know...? Higher Order Beliefs in Survey Data
Discussant: Jennifer La'O, Columbia University and NBER
9:30 am
Ruediger Bachmann, University of Notre Dame
Kai Carstensen, Kiel University
Stefan Lautenbacher, Ifo Institute
Martin Schneider, Stanford University and NBER

Uncertainty and Change: Survey Evidence of Firms' Subjective Beliefs
Discussant: Matthew D. Shapiro, University of Michigan and NBER
10:30 am
Break
11:00 am
Cosmin L. Ilut, Duke University and NBER
Rosen Valchev, Boston College and NBER

Economic Agents as Imperfect Problem Solvers
Discussant: George-Marios Angeletos, Northwestern University and NBER
12:00 n
Lunch
1:00 pm
Mikhail Anufriev, UTS Business School
Cars Hommes, Bank of Canada
Tomasz Makarewicz, Bielefeld University

Simple Forecasting Heuristics that Make us Smart: Evidence from Different Market Experiments
Discussant: John V. Leahy, University of Michigan and NBER
2:00 pm
Break
2:30 pm
Filip Rozsypal, Danmarks Nationalbank
Kathrin Schlafmann, Copenhagen Business School

Overpersistence Bias in Individual Income Expectations and its Aggregate Implications
Discussant: Christopher D. Carroll, Johns Hopkins University and NBER
3:30 pm
Pedro Bordalo, University of Oxford
Nicola Gennaioli, Bocconi University
Yueran Ma, University of Chicago and NBER
Andrei Shleifer, Harvard University and NBER

Overreaction in Macroeconomic Expectations
Discussant: Lars P. Hansen, University of Chicago and NBER
4:30 pm
Adjourn