Fertility and Declining Population Growth in High-Income Countries

Melissa Schettini Kearney and Phillip B. Levine, Organizers

June 6-7, 2024

Royal Sonesta Hotel, Cambridge, MA

Conference Code of Conduct

Thursday, June 6
11:20am
Introductory Remarks
11:30am
Kevin J. Kuruc, University of Texas at Austin

Population Growth, Ideas and the Speed of History
Discussant: David N. Weil, Brown University and NBER
12:20pm
Lunch
1:20pm
Luís Teles Morais, Nova School of Business and Economics
Tiago Bernardino, IIES, Stockholm University
Francesco Franco, Nova School of Business and Economics

The Costs of Building Walls: Immigration and the Fiscal Burden of Aging in Europe
Discussant: Karen Dynan, Harvard University
1:50pm
Molly Dahl, Congressional Budget Office

CBO's Demographic Outlook: 2024 to 2054
Discussant: Karen Dynan, Harvard University
2:20pm
Break
2:30pm
Ester Bøckmann, Institute of Social Research
Marte Strøm, Institute for Social Research

Having It All? Broadband Technology and The Growing Divide Between High and Low Skilled Women*
Discussant: Lisa J. Dettling, Federal Reserve Board
3:20pm
Break
3:30pm
Francesco Billari, University of Oxford
Berkay Ozcan, London School of Economics
Concetta Rondinelli, Bank of Italy

From Bosses to Babies: Unraveling the Gendered Link between Self-Employment Types and Fertility in Italy
Discussant: Bruce Sacerdote, Dartmouth College and NBER
4:20pm
Break
4:30pm
Zhangfeng Jin, Zhejiang University of Technology
Shiyuan Pan, Zhejiang University
Zhijie Zheng, Beijing Normal University

The Unintended Consequences of Relaxing Birth Quotas: Theory and Evidence
Discussant: Hanming Fang, University of Pennsylvania and NBER
5:00pm
Qingyuan Chai, Boston University
Shiyi Sun, Fudan University
Yuan Zhang, Fudan University

Gender Imbalance, Marriage Stability, and Divorce Rate: Evidence from China
Discussant: Hanming Fang, University of Pennsylvania and NBER
5:30pm
Adjourn
6:30pm
Dinner
Bambara Restaurant in the Hotel Marlowe, 25 Edwin H. Land Blvd., Cambridge
Remarks by Michael Geruso, University of Texas at Austin and NBER
Friday, June 7
8:15am
Breakfast
8:45am
Niklas Engbom, New York University and NBER

Misallocative Growth
Discussant: James Feyrer, Dartmouth College
9:35am
Break
9:45am
Jisoo Hwang, Seoul National University
Inkyung Yoo, Seoul National University

Child Penalty amid Declining Fertility: Evidence from Korea (slides)
Discussant: Elira Kuka, George Washington University and NBER
10:15am
Yana Gallen, University of Chicago
Juanna S. Joensen, University of Chicago
Gregory Veramendi, University of London
Astrid W. Rasmussen, Aarhus University
Basit Zafar, University of Michigan and NBER

Fertility and Expectations: Evidence from a Survey Linked to Administrative Data in Denmark
Discussant: Elira Kuka, George Washington University and NBER
10:45am
Break
11:00am
Hanna Virtanen, Etla Economic Research
Mikko I. Silliman, Norwegian School of Economics
Tiina Kuuppelomäki, Labour Institute for Economic Research LABORE
Kristiina Huttunen, Aalto University

Education, Gender, and Family Formation
Discussant: Matthias Doepke, Northwestern University and NBER
11:30am
Roberto Nisticò, University of Naples Federico II
Maria De Paola, Università della Calabria
Vincenzo Scoppa, Università della Calabria

Workplace Peer Effects in Fertility Decisions
Discussant: Matthias Doepke, Northwestern University and NBER
12:00pm
Lunch
1:00pm
Nicola Bianchi, Northwestern University and NBER
Matteo Paradisi, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance

Countries for Old Men: An Analysis of the Age Wage Gap
Discussant: Laura K. Gee, Tufts University
1:50pm
Break
2:00pm
David Cesarini, New York University and NBER
Erik Lindqvist, Stockholm University
Robert Östling, Stockholm School of Economics
Anastasia Terskaya, Universidad de Barcelona

Fortunate Families? The Effects of Wealth on Marriage and Fertility
Discussant: David Simon, University of Connecticut and NBER
2:50pm
Closing Remarks
3:00pm
Adjourn