Monday, July 24
8:00 am
Coffee and Pastries
8:30 am

An Analysis of Two-Sided Statistical Discrimination

Roland G. Fryer, Jr, Harvard University
Ashley C. Craig, Australian National University
9:20 am

Mobility Report Cards: The Role of Colleges in Intergenerational Mobility

Raj Chetty, Harvard University and NBER
John N. Friedman, Brown University and NBER
Emmanuel Saez, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
Nicholas Turner, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
Danny Yagan, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
10:10 am
Break
10:30 am

Who Profits from Patents? Rent-sharing at Innovative Firms

Patrick M. Kline, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
Neviana Petkova, Department of the Treasury
Heidi L. Williams, Dartmouth College and NBER
Owen M. Zidar, Princeton University and NBER
11:20 am

Rent Sharing, Earnings Dynamics and Transmission of Firm and Market Level Shocks

Magne Mogstad, University of Chicago and NBER
Thibaut Lamadon, University of Chicago and NBER
Bradley Setzler, Pennsylvania State University and NBER
12:10 pm
Lunch
1:00 pm

Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets

Daron Acemoglu, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and NBER
Pascual Restrepo, Yale University and NBER
1:50 pm

Bartik Instruments: What, When, Why, and How

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Yale University and NBER
Isaac Sorkin, Stanford University and NBER
2:40 pm
Break
3:00 pm

When Work Disappears: Manufacturing Decline and the Falling Marriage-Market Value of Men

David Autor, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and NBER
David Dorn, University of Zurich
Gordon H. Hanson, Harvard University and NBER
3:50 pm

Why Are Fewer Workers Earning Middle Wages and Is It a Bad Thing?

Jennifer Hunt, Rutgers University and NBER
Ryan D. Nunn, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
4:40 pm

Theory and Evidence on Employer Collusion in the Franchise Sector

Alan B. Krueger, Princeton University
Orley C. Ashenfelter, Princeton University and NBER
5:30 pm
Adjourn
Tuesday, July 25
8:00 am
Coffee and Pastries
Morning joint with Public Economics
8:30 am

How Are SNAP Benefits Spent? Evidence from a Retail Panel

Justine S. Hastings, University of Washington
Jesse M. Shapiro, Harvard University and NBER
9:20 am

Capitalists in the Twenty-First Century

Matthew Smith, Department of the Treasury
Danny Yagan, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
Owen M. Zidar, Princeton University and NBER
Eric Zwick, University of Chicago and NBER
10:10 am
Break
10:30 am

Firm Behavior and Payroll Taxes: Evidence from a Young Workers Tax Cut in Sweden

Emmanuel Saez, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
David G. Seim, Stockholm University
Benjamin Schoefer, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
11:20 am

What Goes Up May Not Come Down: Asymmetric Incidence of Value-Added Taxes.

Youssef Benzarti, University of California, Santa Barbara and NBER
Dorian Carloni, Congressional Budget Office
Jarkko Harju, Tampere University and FIT
Tuomas Kosonen, VATT Institute for Economic Research
12:10 pm
Lunch
1:10 pm

Lowering Welfare Benefits: Intended and Unintended Consequences for Migrants and their Families

Lars H. Andersen, Rockwool Foundation Research Unit
Christian Dustmann, University College London
Rasmus Landersø, Rockwool Foundation
2:00 pm

Immigration Restrictions as Active Labor Market Policy: Evidence from the Mexican Bracero Exclusion

Michael Clemens, George Mason University
Ethan G. Lewis, Dartmouth College and NBER
Hannah M. Postel, Duke University
2:50 pm
Break
3:10 pm

Sources of Displaced Workers' Long-Term Earnings Losses

Marta Lachowska, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research
Alexandre Mas, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
Stephen A. Woodbury, Michigan State University
4:00 pm

Uber vs. Taxi: A Driver's Eye View

Joshua Angrist, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and NBER
Sydnee Caldwell, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
Jonathan Hall, Uber
4:50 pm
Adjourn
5:00 pm
Methods Lecture, Jon Schwabish, Urban Institute
Improving Data Presentation
Ballroom B
Wednesday, July 26
8:00 am
Coffee and Pastries
Morning joint with Economics of Education
8:30 am

Persistency in Teachers' Grading Biases and Effect on Longer Term Outcomes: University Admission Exams and Choice of Field of Study

Victor Lavy, University of Warwick and NBER
Rigissa Megalokonomou, Monash University
9:20 am

'Acting Wife': Marriage Market Incentives and Labor Market Investments

Leonardo Bursztyn, University of Chicago and NBER
Thomas Fujiwara, Princeton University and NBER
Amanda Pallais, Harvard University and NBER
10:10 am
Break
10:30 am

Next Please! Estimating the Effect of Treatments Allocated By Randomized Waiting Lists

Clement de Chaisemartin, University of California, Santa Barbara
Luc Behaghel, Paris School of Economics
11:20 am

Effects of Increased Income on Children's Academic Achievement: Evidence from an Emerging Natural Experiment

Elizabeth Ananat, Columbia University and NBER
Molly A. Martin, Pennsylvania State University
12:10 pm
Lunch
Afternoon joint with Personnel
1:00 pm

Lateral Moves, Promotions, and Task-Specific Human Capital: Theory and Evidence

Xin Jin, University of South Florida
Michael Waldman, Cornell University
2:00 pm

Occupational Licensing of Uber Drivers

Jonathan Hall, Uber
Jason Hicks, University of Victoria
Morris M. Kleiner, University of Minnesota and NBER
3:00 pm
Break
3:30 pm

Does Minimum Wage Increase Labor Productivity? Evidence from Piece Rate Workers

Hyejin Ku, University College London
4:30 pm
Adjourn
6:00 pm
Reception and Dinner Honoring David Card
MIT Samberg Conference Center, 50 Memorial Drive, 7th floor
Thursday, July 27
8:00 am
Coffee and Pastries
Morning joint with Children
8:30 am

On the Determinants of Young Adult Outcomes: An Examination of Random Shocks to Children in Military Families

Bruce Sacerdote, Dartmouth College and NBER
Laura Kawano, University of Michigan
Bill Skimmyhorn, College of William and Mary
Michael Stevens, Department of the Treasury
9:20 am

Sibling Spillovers

Sandra Black, Columbia University and NBER
Sanni N. Breining, Aarhus University
David N. Figlio, University of Rochester and NBER
Jonathan Guryan, Northwestern University and NBER
Krzysztof Karbownik, Emory University and NBER
Helena Skyt Nielsen, Aarhus University
Jeffrey Roth, University of Florida
Marianne Simonsen, Aarhus University
10:10 am
Break
10:30 am

The Impacts of Paid Family Leave Benefits: Regression Kink Evidence from California Administrative Data

Sarah Bana, Chapman University
Kelly Bedard, University of California at Santa Barbara
Maya Rossin-Slater, Stanford University and NBER
11:20 am

Long-term Effects of Head Start: New Evidence from the PSID

Douglas L. Miller, Cornell University and NBER
Na'ama Shenhav, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
Michel Grosz, U.S. Department of Education
12:10 am
Lunch
1:10 pm

The Risk of Machine Learning

Alberto Abadie, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and NBER
Maximilian Kasy, University of Oxford
2:00 pm

Matrix Completion Methods for Causal Panel Data Models

Guido Imbens, Stanford University and NBER
Susan Athey, Stanford University and NBER
Nikolay Doudchenko, Stanford University
2:50 pm
Break
3:10 pm

Measuring Polarization in High-Dimensional Data: Method and Application to Congressional Speech

Matthew Gentzkow, Stanford University and NBER
Jesse M. Shapiro, Harvard University and NBER
Matt Taddy, Amazon
4:00 pm

Double/Debiased Machine Learning for Treatment and Structural Parameters

Victor Chernozhukov, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Denis Chetverikov, University of California at Los Angeles
Mert Demirer, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and NBER
Esther Duflo, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and NBER
Christian Hansen, University of Chicago
Whitney K. Newey, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and NBER
4:50 pm
Adjourn
Friday, July 28
8:00 am
Coffee and Pastries
Morning joint with Crime
8:30 am

Economic Shocks and Crime: Evidence from the Brazilian Trade Liberalization

Rafael Dix-Carneiro, Duke University and NBER
Rodrigo R. Soares, Insper
Gabriel Ulyssea, University College London
9:30 am

The Intergenerational Effects of Parental Incarceration

Will S. Dobbie, Harvard University and NBER
Hans Grönqvist, Linnaeus University
Susan Niknami, Stockholm University
Mårten Palme, Stockholm University
Mikael Priks, Stockholm University
10:30 am
Break
11:00 am

A Few Bad Apples? Racial Bias in Policing

Felipe M. Gonçalves Steven Mello, Dartmouth College and NBER
12:00 noon
Lunch and return to the Longfellow Room for the afternoon Crime session