Fertility and Declining Population Growth in High-Income Countries
Organized by Melissa Schettini Kearney and Phillip B. Levine
Supported by the Smith Richardson Foundation
June 6-7, 2024
Royal Sonesta Hotel, Cambridge, MA
Thursday, June 6
11:20am
Introductory Remarks
11:30am

Population Growth, Ideas and the Speed of History

Kevin J. Kuruc, University of Texas at Austin

Discussant:
David N. Weil, Brown University and NBER
12:20pm
Lunch
1:20pm

The Costs of Building Walls: Immigration and the Fiscal Burden of Aging in Europe

Luís Teles Morais, Nova School of Business and Economics
Tiago Bernardino, IIES, Stockholm University
Francesco Franco, Nova School of Business and Economics

Discussant:
Karen Dynan, Harvard University and NBER
1:50pm

CBO's Demographic Outlook: 2024 to 2054

Molly Dahl, Congressional Budget Office

Discussant:
Karen Dynan, Harvard University and NBER
2:20pm
Break
2:30pm

Having It All? Broadband Technology and The Growing Divide Between High and Low Skilled Women*

Ester Bøckmann, Institute of Social Research
Marte Strøm, University of Michigan

Discussant:
Lisa J. Dettling, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
3:20pm
Break
3:30pm

From Bosses to Babies: Unraveling the Gendered Link between Self-Employment Types and Fertility in Italy

Francesco Billari, University of Oxford
Berkay Ozcan, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE)
Concetta Rondinelli, Banca d'Italia

Discussant:
Bruce Sacerdote, Dartmouth College and NBER
4:20pm
Break
4:30pm

The Unintended Consequences of Relaxing Birth Quotas: Theory and Evidence

Zhangfeng Jin, Zhejiang University of Technology
Shiyuan Pan, Zhejiang University
Zhijie Zheng, Beijing Normal University

Discussant:
Hanming Fang, University of Pennsylvania and NBER
5:00pm

Gender Imbalance, Marriage Stability, and Divorce Rate: Evidence from China

Qingyuan Chai, Boston University
Shiyi Sun, Fudan University
Yuan Zhang, Fudan University

Discussant:
Hanming Fang, University of Pennsylvania and NBER
5:30pm
Adjourn
6:30pm
Dinner
Bambara Restaurant in the Hotel Marlowe, 25 Edwin H. Land Blvd., Cambridge
Remarks by Michael Geruso, University of Texas at Austin and NBER
Friday, June 7
8:15am
Breakfast
8:45am

Misallocative Growth

Niklas Engbom, New York University and NBER

Discussant:
James Feyrer, Dartmouth College
9:35am
Break
9:45am

Child Penalty amid Declining Fertility: Evidence from Korea (slides)

Jisoo Hwang, Seoul National University
Inkyung Yoo, Seoul National University

Discussant:
Elira Kuka, The George Washington University and NBER
10:15am

Fertility and Expectations: Evidence from a Survey Linked to Administrative Data in Denmark

Yana Gallen, University of Chicago
Juanna S. Joensen, University of Chicago
Gregory Veramendi, Royal Holloway, University of London (RH)
Astrid W. Rasmussen, Aarhus University
Basit Zafar, University of Michigan and NBER

Discussant:
Elira Kuka, The George Washington University and NBER
10:45am
Break
11:00am

Education, Gender, and Family Formation

Hanna Virtanen, Etla Economic Research
Mikko I. Silliman, Aalto University
Tiina Kuuppelomäki, Labour Institute for Economic Research LABORE
Kristiina Huttunen, Aalto University

Discussant:
Matthias Doepke, Northwestern University
11:30am

Workplace Peer Effects in Fertility Decisions

Roberto Nisticò, University of Naples Federico II
Maria De Paola, Università della Calabria
Vincenzo Scoppa, Università della Calabria

Discussant:
Matthias Doepke, Northwestern University
12:00pm
Lunch
1:00pm

Countries for Old Men: An Analysis of the Age Wage Gap

Nicola Bianchi, Northwestern University and NBER
Matteo Paradisi, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance

Discussant:
Laura K. Gee, Tufts University
1:50pm
Break
2:00pm

Fortunate Families? The Effects of Wealth on Marriage and Fertility

David Cesarini, New York University and NBER
Erik Lindqvist, Stockholm University
Robert Östling, Stockholm School of Economics
Anastasia Terskaya, Universidad de Barcelona

Discussant:
David Simon, University of Connecticut and NBER
2:50pm
Closing Remarks
3:00pm
Adjourn