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NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC.

SI 2016 Economics of Crime

Justin McCrary, Jens Ludwig, Philip J. Cook, Organizers

July 28-29, 2016

Royal Sonesta Hotel
Longfellow Room
40 Edwin H. Land Boulevard
Cambridge, Massachusetts

PRELIMINARY PROGRAM

Wednesday, July 27
6:00 pm	Clambake at the Royal Sonesta Hotel
Thursday, July 28
8:30 am	Coffee and Pastries
9:00 am	Joseph J. Doyle, Jr., Massachusetts Institute of Technology and NBER Sanni N. Breining, Aarhus University David N. Figlio, Northwestern University and NBER Krzysztof Karbownik, Northwestern University Birth Order and Delinquency: Evidence from Denmark and Florida
10:00 am	Charles F. Manski, Northwestern University and NBER John Pepper, University of Virginia HOW DO RIGHT-TO-CARRY LAWS AFFECT CRIME RATES? Coping with Ambiguity using Bounded-Variation Assumptions
11:00 am	Break
Joint session with Law and Economics group (11:30 am – 12:30 pm):
11:30 am	Robert Dur, Erasmus University Ben Vollaard, Tilburg University Salience of Law Enforcement: A Field Experiment
12:30 pm	Lunch
1:30 pm	Michael G. Mueller-Smith, University of Michigan Kevin Schnepel, The University of Sydney Punishment and (non-)Deterrence: Evidence on First-Time Drug Offenders from Regression Discontinuities
2:30 pm	Break
3:00 pm	Jeremy D. West, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Racial Bias in Police Investigations
4:00 pm	Adjourn
Friday, July 29
	Morning session is joint with the Labor Studies group in Ballroom A
8:00 am	Coffee and Pastries
8:30 am	Will S. Dobbie, Princeton University and NBER Jacob S. Goldin, Department of the Treasury Crystal Yang, Harvard University The Effects of Pre-Trial Detention on Conviction, Future Crime, and Employment: Evidence from Randomly Assigned Judges
9:30 am	Manudeep Bhuller, University of Chicago Gordon Dahl, University of California at San Diego and NBER Katrine V. Løken, University of Bergen Magne Mogstad, University of Chicago and NBER Incarceration, Recidivism and Employment
10:30 am	Break
11:00 am	Amanda Agan, Princeton University Sonja B. Starr, University of Michigan Ban the Box, Criminal Records, and Statistical Discrimination: A Field Experiment
12:00 n	Lunch
	Crime session continues
1:00 pm	Megan T. Stevenson, University of Pennsylvania Distortion of Justice: How the Inability to Pay Bail Affects Case Outcomes
2:00 pm	Philip J. Cook, Duke University and NBER Jens Ludwig, University of Chicago and NBER Douglas L. Miller, University of California at Davis and NBER The Effects of Police Spending on Crime: Evidence from a Regression-Discontinuity Design
2:30 pm	Break
3:30 pm	Justin McCrary, University of California at Berkeley and NBER Kaushik S. Krishnan, University of California at Berkeley Predicting Police Violence
4:30 pm	Adjourn