Workshop on Methods and Applications for Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models

 

Hosted by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The workshop also serves as a mid-year meeting of the NBER EFSF Workgroup on Methods and Applications for DSGE Models.

 

Organizers:

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde (Penn and NBER), Giorgio Primiceri (Northwestern and NBER), Frank Schorfheide (Penn and NBER), and Keith Sill (FRB Philadelphia)

 

Friday October 16, 2015

 

09:00 – 10:00

Gianluca Benigno (LSE), Andrew Foerster (FRB KC), Chris Otrok (Missouri), Alessandro Rebucci (Johns Hopkins), and Eric Young (Virginia): “Estimating Macroeconomic Models of Financial Crisis”

Discussant: Dario Caldara (BOG)

10:00 – 10:30

Coffee Break

10:30 – 11:30

Jonas Arias (Board of Governors), Chris Erceg (Board of Governors), and Mathias Trabandt (Board of Governors): “The Economic Consequences of Disinflation”
Discussant: Cosmin Ilut (Duke)

11:30 – 12:30

Carlos Carvalho (PUC-Rio), Stefano Eusepi (FRB NY)(, Emanuel Moench (Bundesbank), and Bruce Preston (Melbourne): “In Search of a Nominal Anchor: What Drives Inflation Expectations?”
Discussant:  James Nason (NC State)
  

12:30 – 02:00

Lunch Break

02:00 – 03:00

Tao Wu (IMF): “The Effectiveness of Forward Guidance During the Great Recession”

Discussant: David Lopez-Salido (BOG)

 

03:00 – 04:00

Marco Del Negro (FRB NY), Marc Giannoni (FRB NY), and Christiana Patterson (MIT): “The Forward Guidance Puzzle”

Discussant: Luca Guerrieri (BOG)

 

04:00 – 04:30

Coffee Break

04:30 – 05:30

Assaf Patir (Hebrew University): “Synchronization Bias in a Simple Macroeconomic Model” 

Discussant: Zhen Huo (Yale)

 

 

Saturday, October 17, 2015

 

 

09:00 – 10:00

Zhongjun Qu (Boston University): “A Composite Likelihood Framework for Analyzing Singular DSGE Models”

Discussant: Timothy Christensen (NYU)

10:00 – 10:30

Coffee Break

10:30 – 11:30

Pablo Guerron-Quintana (FRB Philadelphia), Atsushi Inoue (Vanderbilt) and Lutz Kilian (Michigan): “Impulse Response Matching Estimators for DSGE Models”

Discussant: Jonathan Wright (Johns Hopkins)

11:30 – 12:30

Yasuo Hirose (Keio University): "Parameter Bias in an Estimated DSGE Model: Does Nonlinearity Matter?"
Discussant: Anna Kormilitsina (SMU)

12:30 – 02:00

Lunch / Departure