NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC.

 

The Great Inflation Pre-Conference

 

Michael Bordo and Athanasios Orphanides, Organizers

 

NBER

3rd Floor Conference Room

1050 Massachusetts Avenue

Cambridge, MA

 

February 29, 2008

 

Program

 

Thursday, February 28:

 

 

6:30 pm

Group Dinner

 

Dante Restaurant, Royal Sonesta Hotel

 

 

Friday, February 29:

 

 

8:15 am

Shuttle van departs Royal Sonesta Hotel for NBER

 

 

8:30 am

Continental Breakfast

 

 

 

Session 1 - Milton Friedman Revisited

 

 

9:00 am

William Poole, Robert Rasche, and

 

David Wheelock, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

 

The Great Inflation: Did The Shadow Know Better?

 

 

9:35 am

Andreas Beyer and Otmar Issing, European Central Bank

 

Vitor Gaspar, Bureau of European Policy Advisers

 

Christina Gerberding, Deutsche Bundesbank

 

Opting Out of the Great Inflation: German Monetary Policy after Bretton Woods

 

 

 

Session 2 - Non Monetary Elements

 

 

10:10 am

Alan Blinder, Princeton University and NBER

 

Jeremy Rudd, Federal Reserve Board

 

Revisiting the Supply-Shock Explanation of the Great Stagflation

 

 

10:45 am

Coffee Break

 

 

 

Session 3 - Time Inconsistency and Central Bank Independence

 

 

11:00 am

Alex Cukierman, Tel Aviv University

 

The Anguish of Central Banking: Another Look at the Great US Inflation and its Aftermath

 

 

 

Session 4 - The Role of a Nominal Anchor

 

 

11:35 am

Marvin Goodfriend, Carnegie Mellon University and NBER

 

Robert King, Boston University and NBER

 

Inflation Drift: Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Stability

 

 

12:10 pm

Andrew Levin, Federal Reserve Board

 

John Taylor, Stanford University and NBER

 

Falling Behind the Curve:  A Positive Analysis of Stop-Start Monetary

 

Policies and the Great Inflation

 

 

12:45 pm

Lunch

 

 

 

Session 5 - Learning Expectations and Policy Mistakes

 

 

1:45 pm

Athanasios Orphanides, Central Bank of Cyprus

 

John C. Williams, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

 

Monetary Policy Mistakes and the Evolution of Inflation Expectations

 

 

 

Session 6 - International Perspectives

 

 

2:20 pm

Riccardo DiCecio and Edward Nelson, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

 

The Great Inflation in the United States and France:  A Structural Analysis

 

 

2:55 pm

Michael Bordo, Rutgers University and NBER

 

Barry Eichengreen, UC, Berkeley and NBER

 

Did the Collapse of Bretton Woods Cause the Great Inflation?

 

 

3:30 pm

Adjourn

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2/27/08